Friday 14 October 2011

Daily Technical Analysis - Pre US Open - 14th October 2011

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PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 14 October 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: capped by a negative trend line.
Pivot: 1.383

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.383 with targets @ 1.3725 & 1.37 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.383 look for further upside with 1.3875 & 1.395 as targets.

Comment: The pair is challenging its declining trend line.

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GBP/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.58

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.58 with targets @ 1.572 & 1.567 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.58 look for further upside with 1.5855 & 1.5910 as targets.

Comment: The pair has struck against its resistance and remains under pressure.

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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 77.05

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 77.05 with targets @ 76.6 & 76.5 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 77.05 look for further upside with 77.2 & 77.4 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and should face a weakness.

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AUD/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.02.
Pivot: 1.02

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.02 with targets @ 1.0315 & 1.039 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.02 look for further downside with 1.01 & 1.002 as targets.

Comment: The RSI has just broken above a declining trend line.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: 1692 in sight
Pivot: 1654.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1654 with 1692 & 1715 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1654 will call for 1640 & 1630.

Comment: The price remains in a bullish channel.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 84.80

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 84.8 with 86.75 & 87.3 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 84.8 will open the way to 84 & 83.5.

Comment: The RSI calls for a new upleg.

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