Wednesday, 12 October 2011

DailyFX Forex Options: US Dollar Losses Likely Within Bigger Uptrend

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DailyFX Forex Options Weekly Forecast: Further US Dollar Pullback Likely

Forex futures and options sentiment suggests that the US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) may continue to decline, consistent with a correction of previous gains while broader trends call for USD strength.

 

Non-commercial futures traders were recently their most bearish the Euro against the US Dollar since the EURUSD set a significant bottom near 1.20 in 2010. And though sentiment extremes are only clear in hindsight, such one-sided positioning warned of a significant bounce.

 

The next question is obvious: if this is truly a correction within a larger US Dollar rally, when may it end? Important targets on the EURUSD include the 1.4000 mark and key previous congestion near the 1.4100 mark. It will be important to watch how the US Dollar reacts when and if we get to those levels in the EURUSD.


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Best regards,

David Rodrรญguez, Quantitative Strategist
drodriguez@dailyfx.com
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