Saturday 15 October 2011

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Friday 14 October 2011

Forex Weekly Trading Forecast 10.17.11 - 10.21.11

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MYFCXM Depositing Funds Trading Signals
US Dollar Likely to Fall Further as Markets Dangerously Complacent
 Euro Crisis Deepening but Currency May Enjoy Further Bounce
Japanese Yen Weakness To Accelerate, Breakout On The Horizon
Sterling Outlook to Hinge on BoE Minutes- Key Inflation Data on Tap
 Gold Eyes G-20 Meetings in Paris for Direction
Canadian Dollar Tied to S&P 500, G-20 and US Growth Outlook in Focus
Aussie Fundamentals Shift after Employment Data, Look to RBA
New Zealand Dollar Rally To Falter Should Global Growth Deteriorate

US Dollar Likely to Fall Further as Markets Dangerously Complacent
The US Dollar posted big declines on the biggest S&P 500 rally in over two years, sparked by a large shift towards risky assets and away from safe-haven currencies. The Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index likewise posted its worst single-week decline since it set a major top in early 2009. Short-term momentum clearly favors further US Dollar weakness, but its record correlation to the Dow Jones Industrial Average emphasizes that direction could change on a moment's notice.
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Best regards,

DailyFX Research Team
research@dailyfx.com
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©2009 DailyFX. All Rights Reserved.
Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® assumes no responsibility for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in these materials. Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these materials. Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® shall not be liable for any special, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages, including without limitation losses, lost revenues, or lost profits that may result from these materials. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Daily Fundamentals - 10.15.11

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MYFCXM Depositing Funds Trading Signals
*    Dollar Finishes out its Worst Weekly Performance Since March 2009
*    Euro: How Long can Relief Substitute Genuine Strength?
*    British Pound Lagging Euro Counterpart as Recession Marches Closer
*    Australian Dollar Looks for Continued Support from China to Offset Global Troubles
*    Japanese Yen Volatility Starting to Slowly Pick Up from Multi-Decade Lows
*    Canadian Dollar Traders May Look more Closely at Rates Next Week
*    Gold Eagerly Awaits Lack of Conviction from G20, European Officials
Written by: John Kicklighter, Senior Currency Strategist
Dollar Finishes out its Worst Weekly Performance Since March 2009
There was no silver lining in the dollar's performance this past week. Behind the greenback's hefty selling pressure against most of its benchmark counterparts, we were reminded of a fundamental reality: we need a real, fundamental reason to hold the US currency - much less bid it higher. So, where did the strength through August and September come from? The spread of the European crisis was enough to stoke fears surrounding the stability of the global financial market and leverage demand for liquidity. At the same time, the euro's own troubles stirred the need for an alternative currency that can supply comparable market depth. However, through the past week, we have seen fear retreat and the euro recover some of its lost ground. Sentiment hasn't turned higher; rather, it has stabilized. And, when conditions are level, the high requirements for attractive interest naturally weighs the dollar lower...
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Best regards,

DailyFX Research Team
research@dailyfx.com
DailyFX Home | research@dailyfx.com | Contact US

©2009 DailyFX. All Rights Reserved.
Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® assumes no responsibility for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in these materials. Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these materials. Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® shall not be liable for any special, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages, including without limitation losses, lost revenues, or lost profits that may result from these materials. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Weekend FX Video - 10.15.11

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MYFCXM Depositing Funds Trading Signals
Will the EURUSD, AUDUSD, S&P 500 Rally Continue Next Week?
Risk appetite staged a remarkable advance this past week; but the lack of fundamentals and volume to support the move leaves us leery of how long the run will last. With notable bullish breakouts from the EURUSD, AUDUSD and other important risk-sensitive currency pairs; the counter-trend move has shown it can extend the drive as long as speculative uncertainty either holds or retreats. However, with Europe still in the cross hairs, Q3 earnings in the US heating up and interbank liquidity a constant concern; we need to be ready should the dominant trend reengage.
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Best regards,

DailyFX Research Team
research@dailyfx.com
DailyFX Home | research@dailyfx.com | Contact US

©2009 DailyFX. All Rights Reserved.
Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® assumes no responsibility for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in these materials. Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these materials. Forex Capital Markets, L.L.C.® shall not be liable for any special, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages, including without limitation losses, lost revenues, or lost profits that may result from these materials. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Free eBook: 5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions

ActionForex.com

Free eBook: 5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions

Greetings Trader,

Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International (EWI) has just released a free 14-page trading eBook: Trading the Line – 5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions, by Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy.

Trendlines are one of the first technical methods most traders learn. Unfortunately, too many traders discard this simplest of all techniques for more advanced methods.

Yet with the right education you will find that a simple line can tell you a world of information about a market. In this free eBook, Jeffrey Kennedy will show you five ways to draw trendlines that will help you to identify support and resistance, the end of a move, and changes in trend – critical information for your trading success.

Jeffrey's trading eBooks have been downloaded thousands of times because he teaches you in a way that enables you to immediately apply the method to the markets you follow. And what's even better, he believes in the methods he teaches and uses them each and every day in his trading and analysis.

Learn 5 ways to apply trendlines to your trading and investing.

Download Your Free eBook Now.

(Hurry! This eBook offer is only available through October 17.)



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Evening Market Wrap

RTT News: Global Financial Newswires

Evening Market Wrap

Friday, October 14, 2011, 17:01

Contents

Commentary

Stocks Close Sharply Higher On Upbeat Retail Sales Data - U.S. Commentary

With traders reacting positively to upbeat retail sales data, stocks moved sharply higher over the course of the trading day on Friday. The major averages extended the upward move seen in recent sessions, ending the day at their best closing levels in over two months. (Oct 14, 2011) Full ArticleForwardFacebookTwitterLinkedIn

Economic News

U.S. Retail Sales Growth Exceeds Estimates In September

Driven in part by a jump in auto sales, U.S. retail sales increased by more than expected in the month of September, according to figures released Friday by the Commerce Department. The report showed that retail sales came in at $395.5 billion in September, representing a 1.1 percent increase over August figures. While economists had expected an increase in sales, most had expected a more modest 0.8 percent increase. (Oct 14, 2011) Full ArticleForwardFacebookTwitterLinkedIn

U.S. Import Prices Rebound By 0.3% In September

U.S. import prices showed a modest increase in the month of September, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Friday, with the report also showing an increase in export prices. The Labor Department said import prices rose by 0.3 percent in September following a 0.2 percent decrease in August. The price growth reflected increases in prices for both fuel and non-fuel imports. (Oct 14, 2011) Full ArticleForwardFacebookTwitterLinkedIn

U.S. Business Inventories Increase More Than Expected In August

U.S. businesses continued to increase their inventories at a slightly faster than expected rate in August while also showing some growth in sales, according to figures released Friday by the Commerce Department. (Oct 14, 2011) Full ArticleForwardFacebookTwitterLinkedIn

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Index Unexpectedly Drops To 57.5 In October

Consumer sentiment in the U.S. has unexpectedly deteriorated in the month of October, according to a report released by Reuters and the University of Michigan on Friday. The report showed that the consumer sentiment index dropped to 57.5 in October from 59.4 in September. The drop surprised economists, who had expected the index to edge up to 60.0. (Oct 14, 2011) Full ArticleForwardFacebookTwitterLinkedIn

Currency Alerts

Dollar Falls Further As Risk Appetite Rises

The dollar dropped to a monthly low versus the euro and sterling on Friday, stung by renewed hopes that coordinated action on Europe's sovereign debt crisis will fuel a more robust global economy recovery. With risk appetite and stocks on the rise, the safe haven dollar remained under pressure versus the riskier counterparts, including commodities-backed currencies like Canada's loonie. (Oct 14, 2011) Full ArticleForwardFacebookTwitterLinkedIn

Political News

Romney Raises More Than $14 Million In Third Quarter

Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney announced his third quarter fundraising total on Friday, with the former Massachusetts Governor revealing that his campaign brought in more than $14 million between July and September. The Romney campaign said it raised $14.16 million during the third quarter compared to the $18 million the campaign raised in the second quarter. (Oct 14, 2011) Full ArticleForwardFacebookTwitterLinkedIn


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