Wednesday, 19 October 2011

Daily Technical Analysis Pre EU 20th October 2011

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PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 20 October 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.3790.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.378 with 1.3655 & 1.358 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.379 will open the way to 1.3855 & 1.3915.

Comment: The pair has validated a rising wedge and is breaking below its support.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish

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GBP/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.5800.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.579 with 1.57 & 1.563 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.58 will open the way to 1.585 & 1.59.

Comment: The RSI is badly directed, the pair should face further weakness.

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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 77.00.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 76.95 with 76.6 & 76.4 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 77 will call for 77.2 & 77.5.

Comment: The pair remains under pressure and is challenging its support.

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AUD/USD intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1.029

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.029 with targets @ 1.012 & 1.002 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.029 look for further upside with 1.0375 & 1.048 as targets.

Comment: The pair is breaking below its channel support.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1625.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1625 with 1600 & 1595 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1625 will open the way to 1640 & 1650.

Comment: The RSI calls for a new downleg.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 86.50

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 86.5 with 84 & 83.45 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 86.5 will call for a rebound towards 87.3 & 88.15.

Comment: The break below 86.5 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 84.

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