Friday 21 October 2011

Daily Technical Analysis - Pre US Open - 21st October 2011

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PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 21 October 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.37

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.37 with targets @ 1.3835 & 1.3885 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.37 look for further downside with 1.365 & 1.358 as targets.

Comment: The pair is posting a rebound on its support as the RSI is turning up.

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GBP/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.5730

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.5730 with targets @ 1.5850 & 1.59 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.5730 look for further downside with 1.5680 & 1.5630 as targets.

Comment: The pair stands above support, the RSI is turning up.

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USD/JPY intraday: consolidation.
Pivot: 76.95

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 76.95 with targets @ 76.6 & 76.4 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 76.95 look for further upside with 77.1 & 77.2 as targets.

Comment: The pair is under pressure and is challenging its support.

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AUD/USD intraday: key ST resistance at 1.03.
Pivot: 1.03

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.03 with targets @ 1.012 & 1.002 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.03 look for further upside with 1.0345 & 1.0375 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: rebound.
Pivot: 1605.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1605 with 1635 & 1642.5 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1605 will call for 1595 & 1583.

Comment: The RSI broke above a bearish trend line.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: up turn.
Pivot: 85.25

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 85.25 with 87.1 & 87.9 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 85.25 will open the way to 84.2 & 83.55.

Comment: The RSI calls for a rebound.

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