Tuesday 18 October 2011

Don't let news releases catch you out

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Don't let news releases
catch you out


Dear Subscriber,

Have you ever wondered why some days the forex markets are so unpredictable and difficult to trade?

Well, it's often because of live news releases.

The markets stall to wait for news releases then move sharply in seconds after the release.

As traders digest the impact, the price movement is very erratic before and afterwards.

And the effects can be huge.

So, you can't afford to ignore them in your trading.

I mean, it can blow your technical analysis out of the water in seconds.

To give you a helping hand in knowing what to lookout for, today I'd like to run through some of the news releases you should be mindful of.


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News releases in the US can
catch you out


Most of us will pick up the day when the Bank of England interest rate decision is coming out as it's quite often mentioned in the newspapers and on the TV news.

But it's news announcements in the US that can catch us out big time, if we don't watch out.

As you know all of the major currencies are quoted against the US dollar.

So, if you don't know what's happening in the US you could get your fingers burnt.

Two of the most important are the FOMC Federal Reserve Interest Rate decision, and the Non Farm Payrolls.

The FOMC Federal Reserve Interest Rate meeting is made eight times a year and it has a big impact on the forex markets.

The next interest meeting and release is due 23rd June.

The Non-Farm Payrolls (US unemployment data) is also one to watch.

This usually comes out on the first Friday of every month at 8:30am EST.

There are others too such as the Consumer Price Index released on the 13th of every month, and the Gross Domestic Product on the third or fourth week of the month.

But the first two usually have the biggest impact on the forex markets.

And I suspect you're like me and don't have hours to trawl through all the news reports.

So, what I like to do and find a lot easier than trawling through all the papers is to check what is coming up on Bloomberg's website:

Bloomberg

Of course, if you see that there's a big news release on it's way, the aim is to avoid the market immediately before and after the announcement.

For example, when I see the FOMC Interest Rate announcement is coming or the Non Farm Payrolls, I generally steer well clear.

I find these times to be just too unpredictable, as the news often has the opposite affect to what you expect.

And the price action can be scary.

It's too easy to get stopped out of trades or to see your profit on open trades disappear in seconds.

So, make sure you keep an eye on these news release announcements.

Best wishes,



Richard Hill
Editor
Forex Round-Up

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