Tuesday 18 October 2011

Daily Technical Analysis - Pre US Open - 18th October 2011

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PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 18 October 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.379

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.379 with targets @ 1.3615 & 1.3575 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.379 look for further upside with 1.383 & 1.39 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken below its support and remains under pressure.

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GBP/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.5785

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.5785 with targets @ 1.567 & 1.562 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.5785 look for further upside with 1.5825 & 1.5855 as targets.

Comment: The pair is under pressure and is breaking below its support.

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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 77

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 77 with targets @ 76.6 & 76.4 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 77 look for further upside with 77.2 & 77.5 as targets.

Comment: The pair is under pressure and is challenging its support.

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AUD/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.0225

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.0225 with targets @ 1.01 & 1.002 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.0225 look for further upside with 1.0285 & 1.0375 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a declining trend line.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1675.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1675 with 1653 & 1646 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1675 will call for 1683 & 1695.

Comment: The price has broken below a bullish channel support.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: key ST resistance at 86.75
Pivot: 86.75

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 86.75 with targets @ 85.5 & 85.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 86.75 will open the way to 87.85 & 88.4.

Comment: The break below 86.75 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 85.5.

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