Wednesday, 19 October 2011

Daily Technical Analysis - Pre US Open - 19th October 2011

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PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 19 October 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.3725

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.3725 with targets @ 1.389 & 1.3915 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.3725 look for further downside with 1.3655 & 1.3615 as targets.

Comment: The pair is on the upside and is breaking above its resistance.

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GBP/USD intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1.5725

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.5725 with targets @ 1.583 & 1.59 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.5725 look for further downside with 1.57 & 1.567 as targets.

Comment: The pair has broken above a declining trend line and should post further advance.

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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 77

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 77 with targets @ 76.6 & 76.4 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 77 look for further upside with 77.2 & 77.5 as targets.

Comment: The pair is under pressure and is challenging its support, the RSI is capped by a declining trend line.

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AUD/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.022

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.022 with targets @ 1.0375 & 1.048 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.022 look for further downside with 1.015 & 1.012 as targets.

Comment: The pair is trading in an ascending channel.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 1643.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1643 with 1676 & 1695 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1643 will call for a slide towards 1627 & 1612.

Comment: The RSI broke above a declining trend line.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 87.35

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 87.35 with 89.75 & 90.45 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 87.35 will call for a slide towards 85.75 & 85.1.

Comment: The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.

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