Monday 17 October 2011

Daily Technical Analysis - Pre US Open - 17th Oct 2011

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PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical Analysis, 17 October 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: supported by a rising trend line.
Pivot: 1.38

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.38 with targets @ 1.39 & 1.394 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.38 look for further downside with 1.375 & 1.3725 as targets.

Comment: the pair has struck against its resistance and is pulling back on its rising trend line.

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GBP/USD intraday: turning down.
Pivot: 1.5825

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.5825 with targets @ 1.572 & 1.567 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.5825 look for further upside with 1.5855 & 1.591 as targets.

Comment: the pair is breaking below its MT rising trend line and should face further weakness.

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USD/JPY intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 77

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 77 with targets @ 77.5 & 77.7 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 77 look for further downside with 76.75 & 76.6 as targets.

Comment: the pair has rebounded on its support and is challenging its resistance.

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AUD/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.02.
Pivot: 1.02

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.02 with targets @ 1.039 & 1.053 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.02 look for further downside with 1.01 & 1.002 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is supported by a rising trend line.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 1670.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1670 with 1715 & 1737 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1670 will call for a slide towards 1661 & 1654.

Comment: the price remains in a bullish channel.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 86.40

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 86.4 with 88.85 & 89.85 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 86.4 will open the way to 85.5 & 85.

Comment: the break above 86.4 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 88.85.

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