Sunday 16 October 2011

Daily Technical Analysis Pre EU 17th October 2011

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PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 17 October 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.3800.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.381 with targets @ 1.39 & 1.394.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.38 will call for 1.375 & 1.3725.

Comment: The pair stands above its new support and should post further advance.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish

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GBP/USD intraday: supported by a rising trend line.
Pivot: 1.5760.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.577 with 1.5855 & 1.591 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.576 will call for a slide towards 1.572 & 1.567.

Comment: The pair remains supported by a rising trend line and should post a rebound.

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USD/JPY intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 77.00.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 77.05 with 77.5 & 77.7 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 77 will call for a slide towards 76.75 & 76.6.

Comment: The pair has struck against its resistance and is pulling back on its support ahead of a rebound.

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AUD/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.02.
Pivot: 1.02

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.02 with targets @ 1.039 & 1.053 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.02 look for further downside with 1.01 & 1.002 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is supported by a rising trend line.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 1654.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1654 with targets @ 1692 & 1715.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1654 will open the way to 1640 & 1630.

Comment: The price remains in a bullish channel.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 85.50

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 85.5 with targets @ 88.1 & 88.85.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 85.5 will open the way to 84 & 83.5.

Comment: The price is supported by a rising trend line.

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- EU Commission Directive 2003/125 dated 22 December 2003



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