* Dollar Breaks Critical Support, Focus Returns to Risk Ahead of NFPs * Euro: An ECB Hold on Rates Won't Provide Lift for Long Against Financial Crunch * British Pound Tumbles Despite Market's Expectations for BoE Bond Purchases * Canadian Dollar Trades Prepare for Employment Data-based Volatility * Japanese Yen: Main Opposition Party Calls for More Active Yen Intervention * Swiss Franc: Record SNB Holdings a Sign of an Effective Floor? * Gold Manages a Slow Advance between Stimulus and Crisis Measures
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Written by: John Kicklighter, Senior Currency Strategist
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Dollar Breaks Critical Support, Focus Returns to Risk Ahead of NFPs |
The standard-bearers for sentiment improved through Thursday's close despite a notable deterioration in the European financial situation. Regardless, an advance from both our favored gauge for risk appetite (S&P 500) and the greenback's primary counterpart (the Euro); there was enough pressure on the extreme safe haven to push it back below the same key support that had stood as resistance through the final weeks of September. If we were to look at EURUSD, that technical boundary would be the 1.3400 level; and for the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar), the support was in the big 10,000 figure. From a purely technical approach; this reads like a false breakout that is transitioning into a reversal. Having forged an impressive rally against its fundamentally-troubled counterparts (like the euro) and more risk-attuned alternatives (like the Australian and New Zealand dollars); a correction seems logical. Yet, fundamentals are critical to this equation...
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