US Dollar Looks to Deepening Financial Troubles for Guidance |
The risk aversion drive that has swelled since July eased significantly this past week; and the net effect on the safe haven US dollar was substantial. The greenback is not the typical safety asset. Rather, the benchmark requires a near-extreme level of fear to leverage its universal appeal: liquidity. Without an absolute shift in capital away from leverage and risky positions, there is little that the dollar can do to draw capital in. That reality was apparent this past week when a stabilization in capital markets (which is for most intents and purposes positively correlated to sentiment) and temperance in volatility led the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar) to four consecutive daily losses and EURUSD to quickly rebound back above the closely-watched 1.3400 level. The question that we need to ask from here is whether this is a permanent reversal for the world's most liquid currency or a temporary breather... |
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