Monday, 31 October 2011

Daily Technical Analysis Pre EU 31st October 2011

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PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 31 October 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.4110.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1.411 with 1.3975 & 1.391 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.411 will open the way to 1.419 & 1.426.

Comment: The pair has broken below its support and remains on the downside.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish

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GBP/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.6035.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1.6035 with 1.595 & 1.59 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.6035 will call for a rebound towards 1.609 & 1.615.

Comment: The pair is under pressure and is approaching its support.

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USD/JPY intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 77.90.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 77.9 with 79.6 & 80.1 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 77.9 will call for 77.2 & 76.5.

Comment: The RSI has broken above a declining trend line, the pair has broken above its resistance and remains on the upside.

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AUD/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.0656

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.0656 with targets @ 1.05 & 1.042 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.0656 look for further upside with 1.0725 & 1.0756 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 1728.00

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1728 with 1695 & 1678 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1728 will call for 1752 & 1765.

Comment: The RSI broke below a rising trend line.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 92.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 92 with 93.75 & 94.65 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 92 will call for 90.65 & 90.

Comment: A support base at 92 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

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