Thursday 3 November 2011

FXCM SSI: Retail Shift Warns of USD Turnaround

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FXCM SSI: Shift in US Dollar Sentiment Warns of Potential Turnaround

Retail forex trading crowds have sold aggressively into recent US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) strength, giving contrarian signal that the Greenback could continue its recent advance.

 

One only need look at the Euro/US Dollar pair to see that traders have aggressively sold into US Dollar strength. The number of traders long the EURUSD (short USD) grew by a significant 37 percent since just a week ago, while EURUSD short positions (long USD) fell 15 percent through the same stretch. We saw similar shifts in the GBPUSD, USDCHF, and USDCAD-warning of a potential US Dollar reversal.

 

A record correlation between the US Dollar and the UK FTSE 100 underlines the fact that markets are increasingly moving in tandem. Thus we may expect that the US Dollar could hit fresh highs as broader risky assets pull back further.


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Best regards,

David Rodríguez, Quantitative Strategist
drodriguez@dailyfx.com
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