Wednesday 2 November 2011

FX Rate Outlook - 11.03.11

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MYFCXM Depositing Funds Trading Signals
*    Fed Fails Global Stimulus Hope, RBA Lowers Top End, ECB In Spotlight
*    Risk Trends are Skewing Yield Differential Skews from Exchange Rates
*    Using Monetary Policy Once again to Help Avert Crisis
Written by: John Kicklighter, Senior Currency Strategist

We have had a very active couple of weeks for monetary policy; and the general trend is towards more accommodation and thereby lower rates of return for FX traders. Perhaps the most highly publicized rate decision was the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) announcement this past session - though it would ultimately end without any dramatic shifts in policy. Heading into the event, there were no expectations for a change to the benchmark lending rate (as it is already in a range between zero and 0.25 percent); but there was a modest chance that central bank would alter its extracurricular stimulus efforts. However, the Fed would maintain its recently adopted 'Operation Twist' approach with selling short-term Treasuries and reinvesting the capital (along with the proceeds of maturing mortgage-backed securities) into longer-dated government securities...
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DailyFX Research Team
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