Wednesday 2 November 2011

Daily Technical Analysis Pre EU 2nd November 2011

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PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 02 November 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.3800.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1.38 with 1.3605 & 1.3565 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.38 will call for a rebound towards 1.386 & 1.395.

Comment: The pair is posting a rebound but stands below its new resistance.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish

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GBP/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.6035.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1.6035 with 1.589 & 1.582 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.6035 will call for a rebound towards 1.609 & 1.615.

Comment: The pair has rebounded on its support but stands below its resistance.

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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 79.00.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 79 with 77.2 & 76.5 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 79 will call for 79.5 & 80.1.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and should face a weakness.

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AUD/USD intraday: capped by a negative trend line.
Pivot: 1.0435

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.0435 with targets @ 1.0275 & 1.02 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.0435 look for further upside with 1.05 & 1.061 as targets.

Comment: The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1.0435.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 1704.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1704 with targets @ 1732 & 1745.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1704 will call for a slide towards 1692 & 1681.

Comment: The RSI broke above a declining trend line.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 92.25

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 92.25 with targets @ 90 & 89.45.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 92.25 will call for 92.85 & 93.85.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.

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