Monday 24 October 2011

Daily Forex Brief | UK fiscal austerity going to plan

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Daily Forex Brief
London: Monday 24th October 2011


UK fiscal austerity going to plan

The UK is a fiscal test case that many are watching closely. The economy has ground to a halt over the past nine months but the government is sticking to its plans to rein in the deficit. The borrowing numbers released on Friday show that the deficit is currently on track to meet the targets set out earlier this year. Looking at public sector net borrowing (ex. interventions on banks), the Office for Budget Responsibility gauges this at GBP 122bln for the current financial year, some 11% lower than the GBP 136.7bln outturn in the 2010/11 financial year. On current trends, the UK is on course to meet this, with the first six months showing an 11% improvement vs. last year. Sterling has held up comparatively well, no doubt gaining some benefit from Europe's growing problems, but the government still has its work cut out ensuring that borrowing is kept in check against the backdrop of a stagnant economy.

Also in today's Daily Forex Brief:

  • Gold trading less like a safe haven
  • European disappointment triggers fresh Swissie demand
  • Japan also increasingly concerned by currency strength

Read more...


The Daily Forex Brief is brought to you by:
Michael Derks
Chief Strategist
Simon Smith
Chief Economist
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