Tuesday, 27 September 2011

Daily Technical Analysis Pre EU 28th September 2011



PRE EUROPEAN OPEN, Daily Technical analysis, 28 September 2011
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: key ST resistance at 1.367
Pivot: 1.3670.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1.367 with 1.3475 & 1.3415 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.367 will call for a rebound towards 1.375 & 1.38.

Comment: The RSI is breaking below a rising trend line, the pair remains capped by a MT declining trend line and is still under pressure.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish

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GBP/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.5600.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.56 with 1.57 & 1.575 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1.56 will open the way to 1.553 & 1.5475.

Comment: The pair should post a rebound on its support as the RSI is turning up.

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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 76.70.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 76.7 with 76.4 & 76.25 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 76.7 will call for a rebound towards 76.9 & 77.1.

Comment: The pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.

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AUD/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 0.9925

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 0.9925 with targets @ 0.9825 & 0.975 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.9925 look for further upside with 1 & 1.0075 as targets.

Comment: The pair is challenging its support, the RSI is mixed to bearish.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: caution.
Pivot: 1624.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1624 with 1672 & 1690 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1624 will call for 1585 & 1530.

Comment: The RSI is mixed and calls for caution.

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Crude Oil (Nov 11) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 81.10

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 81.1 with targets @ 84.75 & 85.8.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 81.1 will call for a slide towards 79.2 & 77.5.

Comment: Intraday support around 81.1

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